The COVID-19 Calculator
By Jennifer Dunphy  |  May 16, 2022
The COVID-19 Calculator
Image courtesy of and under license from Shutterstock.com
With the evolving nature of the COVID-19 pandemic, along with seemingly ever-changing recommendations, restrictions, and government guidance, trying to assess one’s own personal level of risk at any given time or location can be confusing. Now, with the development of the COVID-19 calculator, people finally have a tool to cut through all the uncertainty and determine their own risk of infection accurately and flexibly.

CALIFORNIA - As the COVID-19 pandemic has evolved, the public has relied on government agencies such as the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention to provide clear science-based recommendations. This was and still is a challenging task and, as new variants emerged, treatments improved and preventative measures like vaccines became widely available - the evidence shifted, making policy recommendations a moving target.

The changing nature of these public health policies has sown confusion, and even mistrust. Overall guidance has been vague, with decisions often seemingly made on economic grounds, as opposed to public health ones, e.g., the decision to shorten the quarantine period in the United States from 10 to seven and then finally to five days, allowing individuals to return to work sooner despite leading evidence which shows people are usually infectious for at least 10-14 days, and in severe cases, up to 21 days. Masking guidance has been confusing as well, particularly because, in the US, states and local authorities all have the power to enact widely varying mask requirements depending on location and differing case density levels. This leaves the public with little choice but to make many decisions for themselves, a task both daunting and impractical. 

Every individual’s risk level is different, and each has vastly different personal risk factors which may or may not predispose one to severe disease, but reliable personalized guidance on risk levels, which would enable a better understanding of how to behave for self-protection as circumstances shift is lacking. This is why I created the Dunphy-COVID-19 risk calculator. It not only predicts individual risk levels, but also delivers targeted guidance for keeping high-risk individuals safe. 

The calculator is intended to predict the probability that an individual will become seriously ill and experience adverse health effects if infected with the COVID-

The content herein is subject to copyright by The Yuan. All rights reserved. The content of the services is owned or licensed to The Yuan. The copying or storing of any content for anything other than personal use is expressly prohibited without prior written permission from The Yuan, or the copyright holder identified in the copyright notice contained in the content.
Continue reading
Sign up now to read this story for free.
- or -
Continue with Linkedin Continue with Google
Comments
Share your thoughts.
The Yuan wants to hear your voice. We welcome your on-topic commentary, critique, and expertise. All comments are moderated for civility.
B
Benedict Armour
2022-05-17
A very useful bit of kid that was exactly in line with prevailing community standards.
Reply
z
zhouxin
2022-05-17
Dr. Jennifer shared an essential tool during the pandemic that we could not survive by the zero covid or living with virus policy. Individual needs to innovate the system with new technologies.
Reply
K
Kim Taylor
2022-05-17
A fascinating read on a new way to evaluate the dangers posed by Covid-19 to different sectors of society. Are you at risk? Be one of the first to try the calculator out on The Yuan!
Reply
z
zhouxin
2022-05-17
I tried the calculator in Shanghai. And the result is entirely accurate, and my risk is shallow after three vaccine shots. Probably, Dr. Jennifer could innovate an international version of the tool, which must be very useful.